Rfactory/Mean Reversion with Williams %R

Course

Mean Reversion with Williams %R

  • $1,495

A Research-Backed Mean Reversion System For Sideways Markets

Built from 2+ years of live trading and refined through 6 years of structured testing to identify what held up best.

Early enrolment pricing: $995 instead of $1,495

  • Full system logic, rules and implementation path

  • Built from live trading and structured testing

  • Modules 1 to 3 available immediately

  • Live group Q&A / implementation session for this intake

From Original Concept to a
Live-Traded System

This started with a simple observation about the Williams %R indicator - one of Larry Williams' original tools and one that most traders either ignore or misuse.

I've interviewed Larry directly. I understood the indicator. Then I came across a modification that Dr. Ken Long of Tortoise Capital had developed that extended its functionality in an interesting way. I took that further - adding a signal layer that gives more information and creates cleaner, more actionable entries.

I built a pilot version and put it live. It ran for over 2 years (27 months) on MES futures (Micro E-mini S&P, 5-minute bars). It was profitable after commissions - not spectacular, but promising.

Then, rather than guessing at improvements, I went systematic. Over several months, I designed and ran structured backtests across 6 years of data: testing different stop approaches, exit methods and market regime filters. I used Van Tharp's Market Type framework to understand which market conditions the system actually works in.

The result is what's in this course: a fully specified mean reversion system with a clear edge, tested across 8 distinct market periods, validated on out-of-sample data.

This course is the complete story - the research process, the failures, the discoveries and the final system as it stands today.

What the Data Shows

This system was not built from one lucky backtest.

It went through four main stages: initial development, a live pilot on MES futures, a structured 6-year testing programme across multiple exit and stop variations and a final out-of-sample validation on unseen data.

What matters here is not just one attractive result. It is the chain of evidence behind it.

  • Initial Concept & Backtest: developed and presented at Tortoise Capital Research Event

  • Live Pilot: traded live on MES futures for over 2 years and was profitable after commissions

  • Further Refinement : 6 years of structured testing across stop logic, exit families and market regime filters

  • Final selected version: PT-2.5 emerged as the strongest all-round configuration from the exit testing programme

  • Validation: the final version was then checked on unseen out-of-sample data and passed the practical acceptance test

  • Robustness: nearby variations also held up reasonably well, which matters more than one isolated peak result

Final selected PT-2.5 configuration

The data and chart set below are results from the final selected PT-2.5 configuration. This version emerged from the broader exit testing process as the strongest balance of performance, consistency and drawdown control.

This is a backtested result, not a live equity curve, and that should be stated plainly. What gives it weight is that it sits on top of a profitable live pilot, a broad multi-year test programme and a final out-of-sample check on unseen data.

  • Market: MES 5-minute, long-only

  • Test Period: Feb 2020 to Aug 2025

  • Trades: 1,092

  • Win rate: 44.4%

  • Profit factor: 1.23

  • SQN: 2.60

  • Net P&L: $10,398 (per MES contract) or 119.91R

  • Max Drawdown: $1,532 (per MES contract) or 20.43R

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves risk.

Exit family comparison across profit target ranges

This chart shows that PT-2.5 was not a random one-off result. Fixed profit target exits were tested across a range of R levels and consistently outperformed the other exit families, with the strongest result appearing at PT-2.5. That is the kind of clustered result you want to see when assessing robustness.

What's Inside

This course gives you the full framework behind the Williams %R mean reversion system, from the original idea through to testing, implementation and live use.

Module 1 - Mean Reversion: The Edge That Works

Why mean reversion works, where traders go wrong and what makes this approach different.

Available now

Module 2 - Williams %R: The Indicator and the Insight

The original Williams %R concept, Ken Long’s refinement and the enhanced signal framework used in this system.

Available now

Module 3 - The System: Logic, Signals and Implementation

How the setup works in practice, including entries, exits, filters and implementation choices.

Available now

Module 4 - The Research Journey

How the live pilot, structured testing and key discoveries shaped the final system.

Coming next

Module 5 - Robustness and Validation

What was tested, what held up and how the final version performed out of sample.

Coming next

Module 6 - From Learning to Live

How to monitor, trade and potentially automate the system in real-world use.

Coming next

Also included

  • 1 month free access to the TradingView indicator

  • All performance data and research findings

  • Lifetime access and future course updates

Webinar Replay: A Practical Mean Reversion Framework

Watch Jeff describe the origin story of the Williams %R indicator, its refinements over time and how he developed it into a mean reversion system. The webinar was originally delivered to the Financial Engineers & Quants Meetup Group in London on 16th April 2026 (25mins).

From Learning to Live

Your Implementation Path

The course gives you the complete system knowledge.

When you're ready to implement it you can build it yourself in your preferred platform or we'll be offering three levels of subscription for TradingView.

If you'd prefer another platform please let us know by completing this form or contact us.

This Course Is Right For You If...

✅ You're a serious trader who wants to understand a system, not just follow signals blindly

✅ You trade or want to trade futures (especially ES, MES, or similar instruments)

✅ You've tried indicators and systems before but want to see the full research process behind a real one

✅ You want a systematic approach that reduces emotional decision-making

✅ You're interested in eventually automating your trading

This is NOT for you if:

  • You're looking for a "set and forget" magic system with no understanding required

  • You want guaranteed profits

  • You're a complete beginner to trading (some familiarity with technical analysis assumed)

Built by a Trader, for Traders

About Jeff

Jeff Boccaccio has spent over 25 years at the intersection of financial markets and financial technology.

His background includes architecture and technology roles at Deloitte Consulting, UBS and Barclays Capital, before moving more deeply into trading, system development and research. He has been an active trader since 2007 across equities, options, futures, crypto and FX.

Jeff is MSTA qualified, serves on the Board of the Society of Technical Analysts and chairs its Investment Committee. He is also co-founder of Rfactory and The Systems Lab, where he develops trading frameworks, research-driven systems and educational products for serious traders.

Over the years, Jeff has interviewed and learned from respected traders and market thinkers including Larry Williams, Perry Kaufman, Tom Basso, John Bollinger, Dr. Ken Long and Jason Shapiro.

This course brings that experience into one focused system - built, traded, tested and refined the hard way.

  • $1,495

Enrol Now

If this approach fits the way you think about trading, you can join now at the current early access price.

(Full price: $1,495) Early Access: $995

Your enrolment includes:

  • the full 6-module course

  • Modules 1 to 3 available immediately

  • all remaining modules as they are released

  • 1 month free access to the TradingView indicator

  • performance data and research findings

  • lifetime access and future course updates

For this intake, I'm also including a live group Q&A / implementation session so you can ask direct questions and get clear on how to apply the system in practice.

A Conversation with Larry Williams

For anyone who wants a little extra context, here is a conversation Jeff had with Larry Williams himself, included as useful background and added perspective.

Frequently asked questions

You've got questions. We've got answers.

Is this suitable for beginners?

Some trading experience is assumed - familiarity with charts, indicators, and basic concepts like entries and exits. You don't need to be a programmer or a quant, but complete beginners may find some sections challenging.

Do I need any special software?

No. The course covers the system logic completely. The TradingView tools (subscriptions available separately) let you implement it without any programming. If you'd like an implementation on Tradestation, MultiCharts or another platform please let us know by completing this form or contact us.

Will the system work on markets other than MES?

The system has been tested and validated on MES 5-minute futures. The concepts apply broadly to mean reversion trading, but we can only stand behind the specific implementation as tested.

What's the TradingView indicator trial?

Every course purchase includes 1 month free access to the Williams %R signals indicator on TradingView. The trial can be initiated at any time (it can start as soon as you sign up or you can wait for a time suitable to you). After the trial, it's $40/month if you choose to continue.

When are the modules released?

• Modules 1-3 are available now

• Module 4 is coming in the next few days

• Modules 5-6 will follow shortly after

Is this the complete system?

Yes - the full system logic is covered. What isn't provided is the source code (Tradestation/MultiCharts EL or TradingView Pine Script). The TradingView tools are available as separate subscriptions if you want a plug-and-play implementation or contact us if you'd like an implementation on Tradestation or MultiCharts.